Daily forecasts · Claude Opus 5.5 + Perplexity

Trackers

Each tracker asks the same question every day with fresh research. These forecasts are never graded and do not enter the benchmark.

Rolling 12 months

Will AGI be achieved in the next 12 months?

22%

chance of YES

+2.0 pp

Updated Oct 22, 2026 Details →

Rolling 12 months

Will AI agents be able to write prescriptions nation-wide in the next 12 months?

1.5%

chance of YES

-0.5 pp

Updated Oct 22, 2026 Details →

Disclaimer

This site presents my analysis of whether LLMs can predict the news, together with an interactive tool that runs the same forecasting pipeline on any question. To be clear, neither the analysis nor the tool should be used to make financial or investment decisions; I created this as a personal project; its outputs, to the extent they have any bearing on understanding financial markets, are generated using commercial LLMs and should not be construed in any way as advice from my employer, Oak HC/FT.